> If you cannot maintain the artefact you made yourself without AI, you did not make the artefact.
is mostly lost on those people boasting of 10x output.
The hope amongst the AI-coding proponents is that the SOTA will advance sufficiently rapidly that the loss due to attrition of knowledgeable people won't matter, because...
In this scenario the average software human coders will not be needed because you will simply ask the LLM to maintain, extend and enhance the software it already built.
Having seen the asympotic performance and convergence of performance in SOTA models, I don't believe that this will actually happen.
This conclusion:
> If you cannot maintain the artefact you made yourself without AI, you did not make the artefact.
is mostly lost on those people boasting of 10x output.
The hope amongst the AI-coding proponents is that the SOTA will advance sufficiently rapidly that the loss due to attrition of knowledgeable people won't matter, because...
In this scenario the average software human coders will not be needed because you will simply ask the LLM to maintain, extend and enhance the software it already built.
Having seen the asympotic performance and convergence of performance in SOTA models, I don't believe that this will actually happen.